Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.200059 0.227451 0.256827 0.290625 0.328392 0.369245 0.416731
2026-02-08 0.160166 0.196155 0.237329 0.287752 0.347661 0.416381 0.500983
2026-02-15 0.132329 0.172903 0.221988 0.285387 0.364714 0.460265 0.583602
2026-02-22 0.115136 0.159302 0.215420 0.291340 0.390655 0.515365 0.682902
2026-03-01 0.099289 0.144830 0.205362 0.290771 0.407070 0.558632 0.769574
2026-03-08 0.086821 0.132976 0.196913 0.290652 0.422996 0.601302 0.857396
2026-03-15 0.076814 0.123127 0.189790 0.291034 0.438777 0.643924 0.947042
2026-03-22 0.069734 0.116575 0.186416 0.295955 0.460660 0.695651 1.051788
2026-03-29 0.064378 0.111922 0.185170 0.303514 0.486405 0.753877 1.168671
2026-04-05 0.058670 0.105974 0.181202 0.306277 0.504723 0.801869 1.272851
2026-04-12 0.054299 0.101674 0.179294 0.311839 0.527329 0.857093 1.390361
2026-04-19 0.050813 0.098453 0.178734 0.319303 0.553107 0.918205 1.519676
2026-04-26 0.045922 0.092339 0.172976 0.318031 0.565249 0.959698 1.622441
2026-05-03 0.041578 0.086709 0.167483 0.316650 0.576948 1.000974 1.726995
2026-05-10 0.037695 0.081479 0.162159 0.315008 0.587892 1.041392 1.832079
2026-05-17 0.035431 0.079123 0.161784 0.322032 0.614045 1.108066 1.983396
2026-05-24 0.032443 0.074951 0.157605 0.321690 0.627047 1.153155 2.100776
2026-05-31 0.029811 0.071194 0.153834 0.321711 0.640527 1.199533 2.222368
2026-06-07 0.027496 0.067832 0.150497 0.322212 0.654759 1.247737 2.349194
2026-06-14 0.025904 0.065865 0.149759 0.327652 0.678415 1.313596 2.509782
2026-06-21 0.024714 0.064665 0.150467 0.335962 0.707928 1.391268 2.694724
2026-06-28 0.023139 0.062380 0.148671 0.339005 0.727358 1.451433 2.850824
2026-07-05 0.021948 0.060870 0.148390 0.345107 0.753068 1.524275 3.033068